Published today: the PoliticsHome Electoral Index
Largest ever study of marginal seats
PoliticsHome forecast a Conservative majority of 146
In an election now Labour would suffer a 1997 scale defeat
8 cabinet ministers would lose their seats
Three figure majority for David Cameron
An exclusive PoliticsHome study of marginal seats, using an unprecedented sample of almost 35,000 people over 238 marginal constituencies and based on fieldwork carried out by YouGov, gives us the best ever idea of what would happen if a general election were held now.
The full report can be found here
Makes very interesting reading. I find the Labour meltdown prospect in Scotland of note as well as the Labour meltdown in the South. They need to get their scates on and fast. A survey of 35,000 people as well is pretty impressive even if it was done online.
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