Friday 25 April 2008

The Lib Dem Problem explained


Just seen this as one of around 250 posts on Political Betting blog and I agree entirely.

Morning All.

In reponse to upthread comments heres what the LD’s should do and why they won’t.

1. Accept that the Government is in terminal decline and can’t be “worked with” after the election.

2. accept that the Conservative brand decontamination is now in terminal ascent.

3. Ergo use every scrap of the national air war to pumel Labour and ignore the tories.

4. accept that they are just trying to hang onto what they have got in ex tory seats. by using incumbancy and anti labour rhetoric in these seats they need to reassure small c conservative voters that they don’t need to vote tory to get an anti labour MP they already have one.

5. try and find a replacement USP after Iraq with the liberal/lefties. I think in many labour seats it should be inequality and just go on and on and on about it.

6. accept over all that this is now the scramble for africa and that anything that isn’t nailed down needs shifting into labour held seats.

Why won’t this happen?

1. the party is run by people like mark senior.

2. too much of the party’s industrial mass is the next “most winable” 50 tory seats that are now out of reach till the second/third terms of a cameron government.

3. the entire calamity cleggover project is about protecting southern marginals. Its why the Mp’s went for someone that looks like him.

4. the long term effect of a hyper localist approach to politics is it destroys your capacity for strategic. The pot hole/focus culture means no one is thinking about the chess move 20 moves ahead.

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