Will Boris win?

As the Telegraph says here "London has not seen a blue v red contest like it for years. The prize is almost unimaginably high - and on the eve of battle the margins are so tight it is impossible to say who will triumph..."

Housing, transport, gun crime and Olympic funding were supposed to dominate the agenda, but personality politics will decide who takes charge of City Hall in May along with a smear campaign or two. It seems to me that Brian Paddick may be a sensible chap but he has come across as dull and therefore been outshone. Ken Livingstone looks as knackered as his ideas for London. He seems very ill to me. Boris has given it his most serious effort and offers two things: Change and the possibility of some very funny errors. That is probably all he needs to win although once in he could quickly becme a laughing stock unless his serious side is maintained.

I think Boris will win; just. Ken has had his time and has a "some good, some bad" record. However the bad is increasing and there are no new ideas.

See here for more.