In the unlikely event that the Labour Party lose this by election it has got to be curtains for Brown. That in turn would be bad news for the Tory Party. The PM needs to stick it out and lead Labour to landslide defeat in two years time. The Tories don't want a new Labour leader who may have a vague understanding of whats going on on the ground, something which Brown does not get.
However a lot of commentors and punters seem very optimistic about a defeat for Labour despite them having achieved 61% of the vote last time. Glasgow East is Labour Land, overturning a 13,000+ majority will be near impossible even though Labour is Leaderless in Scotland and tanking in the polls.
Yet the bookies have the SNP as odds on favourite to win and the Westminster Village seem to think its a genuine possibility. Its all incredible really.
I understand that Labour has this afternoon picked a candidate to stand which clears up one mess for them after their preferred man pulled out last night. However this MSP will not have long to stamp authority on the campaign or time to adjust to the oncoming media onslaught.
We shall see who wins on 24 July. Whoever does so will have a hell of a difficult time in improving the lives of those that live in what is statistically not the best place to live. It appears to be a huge social housing programme gone disastrously wrong adn no one has adressed it for 30 years.
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