Saturday 12 July 2008

Tories Hotter Election Favourites Than Ever


So say William Hill and here are the odds:

TORIES HOTTER ELECTION FAVOURITES THAN EVER
The Conservatives are 1/4 favourites - the shortest odds tghey have been sinced losing power eleven years ago -to win the next General Election with William Hill, who make Labour 11/4, the longest odds they have been since coming to power.'There is no sign of a revival in support for Labour to win the next Election under Gordon Brown' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

(they are surely completely right above but I am far less conivnced with the generosity of the odds below relating to David Davis:

WHAT WILL DAVID DAVIS GET UP TO NEXT?
AFTER HIS bloodless victory in the Haltemprice By Election, David Davis is quoted at 7/1 by William Hill to launch his own Political Party in time for the next General Election (must field at least two candidates); 10/1 to stand in a Tory leadership contest against David Cameron before the next General Election; 12/1 to regain his position as Shadow Home Secretary before the next Election; 14/1 to become the next leader of the Tory Party.

There is no way DD is going to stand again in a Tory election so odds of 10 to 1 look rubbish. He is too old and does not want it. Therefore 14/1 also looks hopeless. However 12/1 to become shadow home sec again is a good bet. I reckon he might come back straight into that position. Remember Dominic Grieve QC MP has yet to relinquish his shadow AG title and so could always leave the shadow home sec job leaving the way for DD to return.

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