If Brown and Co had not handled it so badly they would have been able to have the election.
My reasons for an election now if the above had not occurred:
- The economy. It probably will get worse next year.
- House prices. Outside London they are dropping.
- Personal debt. It is massive and would not be helped by a downturn.
- Tax. It is annoying people.
- 10 years in power. People want change and having given Brown a chance people will say enough is enough in 2009.
- Europe. This issue is now plaguing Labour and not the Tories. What a reverse.
- Tories are on the rise. The Labour Cabinet is not what is was. The best have moved on.
- The majority gave Brown a cusion that cold afford a few slip ups and still deliver victory.
I understand that there are several reasons not to go:
- The winter.
- The recent polls.
- EU Treaty.
- Electoral registor.
- Scotland.
- Tory resurgance.
But they do not outweigh the positives in my opinion. Clearly Brown has not come to the same conclusion but I tend to agree with Steve Richards of The Independent who is accusing Brown of having made a "colossal mistake". Brown will be accused of bottling it and although he will shrug off the short term strom it will haunt Brown and Labour in 2 years time. The Labour party will be down about this. They have been marched up the hill and now marched down in the face of a resurgent Tory party. The Labour supporters heads dropping is good news and hard to reverse. They will start to think that maybe they are on the ebb. I hope and believe they are right about that.
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